TRAVIS COUNTY (AUSTIN, TEXAS)
MY PREDICTION
Austin hit lower than I thought. But I don’t think it will continue to drop. This past week saw a lot more social interaction. The new soccer team drew large crowds at multiple viewing parties across the city. The Night Life on Saturday was very active on 6th street as well. My guess is that the cases will at least stay in the area they are now, if not bump up a little.
Prediction: 800
PASSAIC COUNTY (NEW JERSEY)
MY PREDICTION
Passaic cases hit higher than I thought but is continuing to climb at a similar pace to the weeks prior. That pace lines up with the 4 & 3WASR forecasts.
Prediction: 2300
SUFFOLK COUNTY (BOSTON, MASSACHUSSETTS)
MY PREDICTION
Boston is weird. The case count from last week actually falls in line with what I would have thought the cases would be three weeks ago. But 3/29 was when the spike started and threw my predictions off. But all my forecasts stay around the 1.0 Spread Rate zone.
Prediction: 1500
RHODE ISLAND (Yea, like the whole state)
MY PREDICTION
This state was close enough to my prediction but still hit high, again. I’ll forego the “Untouched” formulas as they obviously need some work. Looking at my WASR formulas, it looks like the 3 Week Avg forecast has been the closest the last two weeks.
Prediction: 3200